Is this supported by electoral terms? Any government knows it only has a few years before needing to 're-present' themselves to voters, and they want something to brag about when they do so - so actions with an immediate apparent effect are desirable, anything longer-term is not.
Anyway I think my main point was that futurists in marketing are as self-interested as the ones you talk about but even more self-parodying, and that the trouble with futurism generally is that everybody takes a linear (Whig History) view rather than a cyclical one.
And also that, in fashion at least, futurism has become self-fulfilling because one company, WGSN, is now taken as gospel by all of the major fast fashion brands, so if they predict something will happen, it inevitably does because SHEIN, Zara, H&M etc. all flood the zone with that particular flavour of shit that year.
Mate, whilst the 1000 words is a tragic loss (if you ever get to write it again, post it somewhere more stable), you have provided much food for thought that it will take me several days to digest.
Is this supported by electoral terms? Any government knows it only has a few years before needing to 're-present' themselves to voters, and they want something to brag about when they do so - so actions with an immediate apparent effect are desirable, anything longer-term is not.
I think the short answer is: “it doesn’t necessarily help”. I think a longer answer is: you would need to look at the tenure of party leaders, politicians, and civil services members - all of which I would hypothesize are dropping - e.g. https://www.politicshome.com/thehouse/article/too-much-too-young-are-mps-getting-younger
I don’t think simply lengthening parliamentary terms will solve this problem. Altho the 2 year spin cycle for US reps is probably too brief.
Dude. I just wrote a 1,000 word comment on this that brought together Peter Turchin's "Secular cycles", K-hole reports ( https://khole.net/issues/youth-mode/ ), Edward Chancellor ( https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2016/08/28/book-review-capital-returns/ ) and Whig History ( https://www.exurbe.com/on-progress-and-historical-change/ ). Then I refreshed the page and its all gone.
Anyway I think my main point was that futurists in marketing are as self-interested as the ones you talk about but even more self-parodying, and that the trouble with futurism generally is that everybody takes a linear (Whig History) view rather than a cyclical one.
And also that, in fashion at least, futurism has become self-fulfilling because one company, WGSN, is now taken as gospel by all of the major fast fashion brands, so if they predict something will happen, it inevitably does because SHEIN, Zara, H&M etc. all flood the zone with that particular flavour of shit that year.
https://luizadopradolima.medium.com/do-you-believe-in-oracles-trend-forecasting-is-trending-in-the-fashion-industry-a6cb8ed2acf4
Mate, whilst the 1000 words is a tragic loss (if you ever get to write it again, post it somewhere more stable), you have provided much food for thought that it will take me several days to digest.